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2024-12-13 05:40:17

Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Google asked the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to terminate the exclusive cloud service agreement between Microsoft and OpenAI.Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.


General Motors (GM): The unmanned business Cruise and GM Technical team will be merged, and the plan is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025. According to the priority of GM's capital allocation, GM will no longer fund Cruise's self-driving taxi development business.Guotai Junan: From policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, Guotai Junan said, from policy expectation to focusing on performance, the marginal improvement of mass goods, stable drinks, marginal decline of alcohol, configuration: mass goods > beer & drinks > liquor, first grow before value, first choose snacks, certain preferred condiments, drinks and beer, and gradually lay out liquor: under low expectation, the layout is oversold and the valuation target is low, which is steady. Popular products: 1) Snacks and some condiments are preferred. 2) beer and drinks. 3) tobacco.Millay: Argentina seeks to reach a free trade agreement with the United States next year.


The restricted shares with a market value of 463 million yuan were lifted today. Smith Barney, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Wednesday (December 11th), the restricted shares of four companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 31.3389 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 463 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, one company lifted more than 10 million shares. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Pulitzer were among the top, with 24,446,500 shares, 6,503,200 shares and 234,800 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by a company exceeds 100 million yuan. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 392 million yuan, 34.8574 million yuan and 33.43 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of one company released from the ban exceeded 10%. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike are among the top companies, with the lifting rates of 29.38%, 0.28% and 0.05% respectively.Shenzhen Holdings: Auditor replacement: PricewaterhouseCoopers resigned and Ernst & Young took over. On December 10th, Shenzhen Holdings (00604.HK) announced that according to Rule 13.51(4) of the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, PricewaterhouseCoopers agreed to resign as the auditor of Shenzhen Holdings with effect from December 10th, 2024. At the same time, the board of directors of Shenzhen Holdings decided to appoint Ernst & Young as the new auditor of the company, which will also take effect from December 10, 2024 until the end of the next annual general meeting.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.

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